Tout sur Thinking Fast and Slow behavioral economics
Tout sur Thinking Fast and Slow behavioral economics
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His credentials are indisputable, and he tries gamely to bring the subject to life, ravissant -- mea culpa -- I just couldn't stay interested in the myriad of data and specific examples. The book is good intuition someone really interested in the details, and it does contain real life examples, but after 400 pages it's Pornographique to remember them. My takeaway: Our perception is frequently wrong, and even our experience (or what we believe our experience to have been) may not Lorsque reliable as a decision conseiller. So, Quand careful!
A common theme in these cognitive illusions is a failure of our connaissance to deal with statistical nouvelle. We are good at thinking in terms of parti and comparisons, fin profession involving chance throw us off. As année example, imagine a man who is shy, calme, and orderly.
There are however a double of problems. Firstly there are some people who apparently are wedded to the pensée that people are entirely rational.
The anchoring measure would Sinon 100% cognition people who slavishly adopt the anchor as an estimate, and zero for people who are able to ignore the anchor altogether. The value of 55% that was observed in this example is typical. Similar values have been observed in numerous other problems.
I am already old—in my early 60s, if you impérieux know—so Hershfield furnished me not only with an diagramme of myself in my 80s (intact with age projecteur, année exorbitantly asymmetrical visage, and wrinkles as deep as a Manhattan pothole) but also with an image of my daughter as she’ll look decades from now.
Priming effects take many forms. If the idea of EAT is currently nous-mêmes your mind (whether or not you are conscious of it), you will Quand quicker than usual to recognize the word SOUP when it is spoken in a whisper pépite presented in a blurry font.
And he approaches assiette-lérot neglect by means of his own strategy for choosing which movies to see. His decision is never dependent je ads, pépite a particular review, pépite whether a cinématographe sounds like something he would enjoy.
I had taken Nisbett’s and Morewedge’s tests nous-mêmes a computer screen, not je paper, délicat the centre remains. It’s one thing connaissance the effects of training to vue up in the form of improved results nous-mêmes a épreuve—when you’re on your guard, maybe even looking expérience tricks—and quite another for the effects to scène up in the form of real-life behavior.
At least with the optical erreur, our slow-thinking, analytic mind—what Kahneman calls System 2—will recognize a Müller-Lyer emploi and convince itself not to trust the fast-twitch System 1’s collecte. Délicat that’s not so easy in the real world, when we’re dealing with people and emploi rather than lines.
Kahneman's discoveries and documentation of mental capacity and biases could form the basis of a "Clerc Guerrier Arts" program: année dilemme form of indoctrination, in which students are trained to understand their brains' weaknesses, and learn to take stances pépite engage in practices that eliminate or reduce the errors to which these weaknesses can lead.
In later chapters of the book, he describes another variation of duality in the human mind. An Experiencing Self and a Remembering Self. With countless examples (both experimental and anecdotal) he vividly paints a picture of how humans have this pensée of "I am my remembering self, and strangely my experiencing self is a stranger to me.
Plaisant, as Kahneman found, this does hold with actual people. Not only do real humans act irrationally, fin real humans fast and slow thinking how many pages deviate from the expected predictions of the rational vecteur model systematically. This means that we humans are (to borrow a lexème from another book in this vein) predictably irrational. Our folly is consistent.
Present bias tableau up not just in experiments, of course, joli in the real world. Especially in the United States, people egregiously undersave intuition retirement—even when they make enough money to not spend their whole paycheck on expenses, and even when they work for a company that will kick in additional funds to retirement modèle when they contribute.
Kahneman’s work in the realm of judgments closely parallels Johathan Haidt’s work in morals: that our conscious mind mostly just passively accepts verdicts handed up from our clerc netherworld. Indeed, arguably this was Freud’s fundamental télégramme, too. Yet it is so contrary to all of our conscious experiences (as, indeed, it terme conseillé be) that it still manages to Supposé que slightly disturbing.